A historic selloff in the price of oil continued on Tuesday in the wake of a supply wave that has left the world awash with crude and running out of places to store it.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for June delivery, the most active contract, dropped 26.33 percent to $15.05 per barrel. The contract had plunged as much as 42 percent to $11.79 a barrel in overnight trading. May futures, which crashed 305 percent to -$36.73 a barrel earlier this week, expire on Tuesday.
“This was an epic squeeze, but let’s not pretend this weakness is related strictly to the May contract,” wrote Stephen Schork, founder and editor of the daily subscription newsletter The Schork Report.
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If the New York Mercantile Exchange, where oil futures contracts are traded, doesn’t hit storage capacity this month, “it certainly will hit capacity while the June contract is prompt,” he added. With storage at the max, the June contract can “crash into the single (if not negative) digits before it is all said and done.”
Monday’s plunge in May-delivery prices was prompted partly by a selloff among traders speculating on oil prices who needed to dump their holdings before the contract’s expiration required them to take delivery of the crude. Each futures contract gives the holder 1,000 barrels of oil for delivery at Cushing, Oklahoma, a key U.S. oil hub.
Essentially, oil bulls “got caught with their paws in the cookie jar,” Schork wrote.
U.S. crude oil inventories have swelled toward the maximum that can be stored as “stay-at-home” orders issued to slow the spread of COVID-19 have sharply reduced demand at the same time as a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia dragged down prices.
Inventories at Cushing have surged by 48 percent since February to about 55 million barrels, closing in on the facility’s 76 million-barrel limit.
A recent truce in the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia may provide some relief.
The world’s largest oil producers, which include a slate of other nations, will cut production by 20 million barrels per day for the two months beginning May 1.
OPEC and its allies will reduce output by 9.7 million barrels while other major players such as the U.S. and Canada will cut their production mostly as a result of lower prices.
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The agreement also says OPEC producers and their allies will trim output by 7.7 million barrels a day from July through next year.